Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.001843 0.001955 0.002070 0.002198 0.002337 0.002483 0.002648
2025-04-27 0.001695 0.001854 0.002025 0.002224 0.002448 0.002696 0.002990
2025-05-04 0.001607 0.001801 0.002016 0.002273 0.002576 0.002922 0.003351
2025-05-11 0.001553 0.001775 0.002029 0.002341 0.002720 0.003167 0.003743
2025-05-18 0.001486 0.001726 0.002007 0.002361 0.002802 0.003338 0.004050
2025-05-25 0.001396 0.001644 0.001938 0.002316 0.002797 0.003397 0.004215
2025-06-01 0.001329 0.001583 0.001890 0.002293 0.002815 0.003481 0.004414
2025-06-08 0.001288 0.001552 0.001876 0.002309 0.002882 0.003629 0.004703
2025-06-15 0.001234 0.001502 0.001835 0.002287 0.002895 0.003703 0.004892
2025-06-22 0.001188 0.001459 0.001801 0.002270 0.002913 0.003785 0.005095
2025-06-29 0.001144 0.001417 0.001765 0.002250 0.002923 0.003853 0.005281
2025-07-06 0.001098 0.001371 0.001721 0.002215 0.002912 0.003888 0.005418
2025-07-13 0.001032 0.001298 0.001643 0.002135 0.002839 0.003841 0.005443
2025-07-20 0.001008 0.001280 0.001639 0.002158 0.002914 0.004015 0.005822
2025-07-27 0.000995 0.001276 0.001652 0.002205 0.003027 0.004251 0.006321
2025-08-03 0.000988 0.001281 0.001677 0.002270 0.003169 0.004541 0.006933
2025-08-10 0.000967 0.001264 0.001671 0.002289 0.003241 0.004726 0.007383
2025-08-17 0.000928 0.001221 0.001625 0.002246 0.003215 0.004749 0.007553
2025-08-24 0.000898 0.001189 0.001594 0.002223 0.003219 0.004823 0.007816
2025-08-31 0.000881 0.001175 0.001589 0.002239 0.003285 0.005001 0.008286
2025-09-07 0.000854 0.001146 0.001560 0.002217 0.003287 0.005071 0.008559
2025-09-14 0.000830 0.001121 0.001536 0.002202 0.003299 0.005158 0.008871
2025-09-21 0.000807 0.001095 0.001510 0.002182 0.003302 0.005229 0.009156